The big topic these days is how the Fed’s is affecting the mortgage industry. With home prices climbing, even dramatically in some parts of the country, and interest rates on the rise, many potential buyers could soon find themselves priced out of the market. I detest scare tactics to coerce people into buying, however, I would be amiss if I did not alert my clients that the time for “waiting for the great deal” are seriously gone. The choice is rapidly changing to buy now, or not at all.
Listen to what the mortgage bankers have to say:
From Peter Prodanov, Bank of England (218-849-0760)
“The sell-off continued in the aftermath of Fed Chairman Bernanke’s remarks about the pace of the Fed’s bond buying program. Treasury yields reached highs not seen since September 2011 as the 30yr yield hit an intraday high of 3.548%. Selling in the long end intensified following a poorly received $7 billion 30yr TIPS auction, which came at a yield of 1.42%. The benchmark 10yr note surpassed Wednesday’s highest yield since October 2011, reaching a high print of 2.414%. US equities were off again as well. The S&P 500 posted its largest daily decline since November 2011, down 40.58 (-2.28%) to 1,588.33. The Dow was off 352.02 points (-2.33%) to 14, 760.15 and the Nasdaq was off 78.57 points (-2.28%) to 3,364.64.
Mortgages continued to underperform on Thursday, widening 9 ticks vs. swaps at the end of the trading session. Origination volume was approximately $2.8 billion and the Fed’s weekly MBS purchase data shows that they increased buying in 30yr 3.5% coupons and 15yr 3.0% coupons, although they have yet to resume purchases in 4% coupons despite representing almost 10% of 30yr originations over the past week. At 3pm, the FN 30yr 3.5% in July was down by -31/32nds (101-16) and the FN 15yr 2.5% in July was lower by -26+/32nds (100-11).The Gold/Fannie swap was relatively unchanged, improving by a +, on Thursday with the 3.0% swap at -8+/32 and the 3.5% swap at -4+/32. Ginnie/Fannie swaps have been under pressure over the past week, more notably the past two days, on heavy selling from domestic money managers and overseas investors, re-pricing lower coupons by 8-14 ticks. The Ginnie/Fannie 3.0% swap closed 29/32 and the 3.5% swap closed 25/32. Just a week ago these swaps were 1-15/32 and 1-14/32 respectively.
Treasuries are up moderately this morning as are equity futures. There is no US economic data today though the Fed will buy back $1.25-1.75bn in the 20-30yr sector.”
Rates: June 21-24, 2013
30 Yr. Conforming 4.375%
15 Yr. Conforming 3.500%
30 Yr. Jumbo Conforming 4.750%
30 Yr. FHA/USDA/VA 4.125%
15 Yr. FHA Fixed 3.375%